Wednesday, September 15, 2010

What would you do? #179 - Holding overpair; what am I beating here?

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official Hand History Converter

MP1: $106.85
MP2: $100.00
CO: $269.00
BTN: $100.00 - 16/16 / 29% steal / 5.0% 3bet / 7.0AF / 100% cbet flop / 115 hands
SB: $100.00
Hero (BB): $119.95
UTG: $73.65
UTG+1: $100.00
UTG+2: $132.55

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with Js Jc
5 folds, CO calls $1, BTN raises to $5.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $4.50, CO calls $4.50

Flop: ($17.00) 6d 2d 7s (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $12, Hero calls $12, CO calls $12
It's fine that he cbets here.  I don't know that there's a purpose in raising.

Turn: ($53.00) 2s (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $28, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds, CO folds
So is this a mistake to fold here?  It's very thin to call and expect a river shove...  He could easily show up with 88-TT as he could QQ-AA or even Axd, etc.  He doesn't have a huge propensity for stealing (29% is not a "regular" stealer...  What do you think?  Mistake?  Not a mistake?  I'm expecting to hear pretty divided comments...

Final Pot: $53.00
BTN wins $50.35
(Rake: $2.65)


  1. His 7.0AF is high enough that he will double barrel you a lot. I call and check/call pretty much any river bet on pretty much any card. Raising the turn doesn't accomplish much. Also, betting doesn't accomplish much on any river.

  2. I too feel like he would double barrel with a dry board like this. Granted, so far he's raised every pot he's been in - this is when I like to see that Turn CBet stat - I think calling this down would be my choice, but I like your choice better if he's holding a set!

  3. wondering if you have a "punish limpers" stat available. You make make life hell for guys who punish limpers with A9 and you call behind them. You might even reraise JJ for value preflop vs. these types of guys


Blog Archive