Tuesday, September 14, 2010

What would you do? #178 - Holding third best hand strength facing river shove

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $58.20
MP1: $67.20
MP2: $42.55 - 75/25/ 10.0AF / 13hands
CO: $50.20
BTN: $17.50
SB: $64.15
Hero (BB): $90.10
UTG: $50.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 9d Td
3 folds, MP2 calls $0.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero checks
Easy check of my option; suited connectors seeing a flop for free...

Flop: ($1.75) 8c 2s 7s (3 players)
Hero bets $1.50, MP2 raises to $3, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.50
OESD on the flop.  Min raised by a suspect MP2.  I think this is a marginal call; a lot of the time these types are on a flush draw...  by that regard, I have 2 overs + 6 clean outs to the straight.

Turn: ($7.75) Js (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.50, Hero raises to $4, MP2 raises to $7.50, Hero calls $3.50
So this was the weird part of the hand; he min bets to induce a raise, which he min raises.  He min raised the flop as well...  What do you make of this?  WTF?

River: ($22.75) 8h (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 requests TIME, MP2 bets $31.55 all in, Hero ???
I love the check here because it gets me to showdown cheaply a lot of the time, but it also induces a lot of spaz plays, like it did here.  So what do you do here?  Are you giving him credit?

Click to see results

This player has been so squirrely; I'm not quite sure whether he has a flush (given the min raise on the turn), a boat, or spazzing top pair rivered trips.  Given his [limited] prior history, I have to believe that he's raising wide - therefore, I guess he raises all pocket pairs.  I doubt he's showing up with a set rivered boat.  He could have a 78 combo that rivered a boat, though - so that's a consideration.  The spade flush is the one present in my mind.  I just feel like an overshove is so bluffy by this kind of player...  I'd respect it a heckuvalot more if this were a reg.

Hero calls $31.55

Final Pot: $85.85
MP2 shows 8d Ad (three of a kind, Eights)
Hero shows 9d Td (a straight, Jack high)
Hero wins $82.85
(Rake: $3.00)

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