Thursday, September 9, 2010

What would you do? #176 - Holding overpair against a strong turn bet

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $105.40
BB: $101.50
UTG: $100.00
UTG+1: $103.70
MP1: $100.00
Hero (MP2): $133.00
CO: $119.25 - 13/10 / 45% steal / 2.6% 3bet / 1.8 AF / 1.1K hands
BTN: $100.70

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP2 with Ts Tc
3 folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 9h 7s 3h (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, CO raises to $13.50, Hero calls $9

Turn: ($34.50) 6c (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $23, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds
This bet feels very much like a set up to shove the river.  I wonder whether it's a mistake to call the flop raise.  What did I do wrong here, and what would you do differently (if anything)?

Final Pot: $34.50
CO wins $32.80
(Rake: $1.70)
Posted by The Poker Meister at 9/09/2010 08:00:00 AM
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3 comments:

  1. matt tagSeptember 9, 2010 at 9:38 AM

    I think you played the entire hand fine. The call on the flop is good because he may just be testing you with a raise to fold out whiffed overs. Once he second barrels, though, I don't think you beat any of his value hands.

    He might even have jacks or queens here. (very small 3bet range).

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  2. AnonymousSeptember 9, 2010 at 11:18 AM

    well, thats a 13/10 that just called your raise, so he has some kind of pocket pair lower than 1010 like 90% of the time. maybe he's calling with >=ajs or maybe a bit wider depending on what your stats look like to him. he's prob not aggro enough to raise that flop with the flush draw or 810 for the oesd, so he must be doing it for value. maaaaybe he raises there with a9 but prob not so you should be crushed on the flop and fold, but its obv tough to fold the overpair. when he aligns stacks on the turn, though, i think you're on a 2-outer vs a set about 99% of the time.

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousSeptember 9, 2010 at 11:53 AM

    Good fold....you have a bluff catcher at best.....maybe you could have ck raised the turn but you would have been committing your stack with an over pair. I play this level and most the time if they are firing 2 barrels they are turning jj or qq......

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