Monday, November 9, 2009

What would you do? #19

VPIP 33/ PFR 27 / AF 6.5 / C-bet 80% / Attempt to steal 75% @ 60 hands...

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players -
The Official Hand History Converter

CO: $44.00
BTN: $20.25
SB: $30.35
BB: $30.00
UTG: $9.50
UTG+1: $91.80
Hero (MP): $58.25

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with Ah Qs
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $3
Clearly, this is an aggressive player. He is smart, and thinking. I'm not normally one to raise AQs in MP, but against this guy, he a has a fairly wide raising range.

Flop: ($9.75) Th 6h 3c (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $5, UTG+1 calls $5
2 hearts, but a miss for me. I'm assuming it's a miss for him too.

Turn: ($19.75) 4h (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $7, UTG+1 raises to $20, Hero calls $13
The flush gets there. I really still have him on air here, but I have the nut flush redraw as a backup. Do you really believe he is check / raising a flush?

River: ($59.75) Qc (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $62.30 all in, $29 behind for me..., Hero ???

Click to see results

Hero calls $28.75 all in

Final Pot: $117.25
UTG+1 shows Kc Ad (Ace King high)
Hero shows Ah Qs (a pair of Queens)
Hero wins $114.25
(Rake: $3.00)
Based on his hyper aggressiveness, he was clobbering me all day. I can't see him pushing here if he does indeed have the flush. In addition, he can't have the nut flush and my c/r call has to be making him a bit uncomfortable. His shove says he wants me to fold - I therefore do the opposite.


  1. what flush does he have that he would raising in EP. QJs? Pretty terrible river card as you have put in half of your stack and your are definitley good some times here.

    pocket 5s might do this? At the end of the day, I think the price is right for the call.

    I'll now go look at results.

    Keyword: stole

  2. He read the situation correctly. I was actually surprised to see his showdown & the fact that I sucked out on him.


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