Tuesday, July 6, 2010

What would you do? #133 - 1 pair hand facing 4 flush on river

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP2: $17.50
CO: $102.50
Hero (BTN): $50.00 - My steal % to him is ~50%
SB: $68.10 - 11 / 9 / 28% steal / 2.7% 3bet / 6.2 aggression factor / 52% cbet / 511 hands

BB: $34.00
UTG: $50.45
UTG+1: $65.05
MP1: $152.05

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with 8d 9c
5 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.50) 5s 3d Ts (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Fear a check / raise given his AF.  He has done this in the past in the few spots where I'm caught stealing.  Additionally, there is not much to rep on this board.

Turn: ($3.50) 7s (2 players)
SB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50
Turned OESD.  My hand will be fairly well concealed if it hits.  Note that there's a 3flush on the board.

River: ($8.50) 8s (2 players)
SB bets $5.50, Hero ???
I river a pair.  What now?  Does your play change if the 8s is the Js or the 6s (completing the straight draw but putting a 4 flush as well?  Does your play change if the river is a non-spade 8?

Click to see results

Hero raises to $15, SB folds
I think a raise here folds out most TT hands, given the 4 flush.  I also think that the raise folds almost all of the flush hands, excluding Jacks+ (probably).  I can represent a rivered 4 flush myself, given that I raised PF (steal or otherwise, it is credible that I raised with an Ax hand, which may very well be an As).

Ultimately, I want to fold out the full range of his holdings, accepting the fate that he may very well have the nut flush or close to it.  I think he shows up with a premium spade much less often than he shows up with better pairs, lesser spades or hands that my rivered 8's don't beat.  I don't want to take the risk that he has a weak spade, so I push him off of the pot.

Finally, I have played this hand so passively (check -> call) that I can easily have a monster, etc.

Final Pot: $19.50
Hero wins $18.55
(Rake: $0.95)


  1. Nice bluff-raise. You sniffed out the fact that the villain is a nit, but yet very aggro which he validated by barreling turn and river. You're right that if you c-bet the flop, villain was probably going to check-raise you given the way the hand played-out.

    I agree that the villain will rarely have the/a hand needed to call your river raise. It looks like he got caught in middle-strength territory which could have been a set, A-10s, 99 or JJ. It's hard to put the villain on a made flush on the turn which became counterfeited by the river, since there almost no suited connectors that an 11/9 would be defending from the SB, with the exception of QJs. And even then, I think villain would be able to find a fold with the Q-high flush with 4 spades on deck.

  2. Moreover, his bet felt very much like a blocker bet.


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