Coin flip situation? Would you have called?

Hand Number	962047751
Start Date	2007-10-29 22:27:28
End Date	2007-10-29 22:28:44
Pot Size	$56.96
Rake	$1.50
Game Type	Hold'Em
Play Mode	Real
Table Name	War Emblem
Structure	NL
Table Stakes	Min Bet Max Bet Ante Blinds $0.25 $0.10 $0.25
Community Cards	Kc As 3s 4c 7d

Player Information

Screen Name	Seat Position	Cards Dealt	Start/End Amount	Total Bet	Win/Loss Amount
bauleke	1		$25.30/$24.50	$0.80	$-0.80
qwietman	2		$25.00/$25.00	$0.00	$0.00
wytfntm	3		$29.60/$29.60	$0.00	$0.00
kurokitty	4		$0.00/$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Hussarian	5		$24.75/$24.75	$0.00	$0.00
MD_Joel	6	Ac Qc	$31.22/$59.40	$28.78	$28.18
billynapishere	7	Ah Jh	$28.78/$0.00	$28.78	$-28.78
fatbankroll	8		$10.25/$10.25	$0.00	$0.00
DonnyBaseball12	9		$4.50/$4.40	$0.10	$-0.10

Hand Actions

Player	Action	Action Data	Timestamp
fatbankroll	Set dealer/Bring in spot	8	22:27:28
DonnyBaseball12	Ante/Small blind	$ 0.10	22:27:28
bauleke	Big blind/Bring in	$ 0.25	22:27:28
bauleke	Card dealt to a spot		22:27:28
wytfntm	Card dealt to a spot		22:27:28
Hussarian	Card dealt to a spot		22:27:28
MD_Joel	Card dealt to a spot	Ac Qc	22:27:28
billynapishere	Card dealt to a spot	Ah Jh	22:27:28
fatbankroll	Card dealt to a spot		22:27:28
DonnyBaseball12	Card dealt to a spot		22:27:28
wytfntm	Fold	$ 0.00	22:27:31
kurokitty	Stand up	4	22:27:33
kurokitty	Stand up	true	22:27:33
Hussarian	Fold	$ 0.00	22:27:37
MD_Joel	Call	$ 0.25	22:27:40
billynapishere	Raise	$ 0.80	22:27:55
fatbankroll	Fold	$ 0.00	22:27:55
DonnyBaseball12	Fold	$ 0.10	22:27:57
bauleke	Call	$ 0.55	22:28:00
MD_Joel	Raise	$ 2.00	22:28:06
billynapishere	Call	$ 1.45	22:28:15
bauleke	Fold	$ 0.80	22:28:16
	Betting round completed	Last active pot = $5.40	22:28:16
	Card dealt to table	Kc As 3s	22:28:16
MD_Joel	Bet	$ 3.00	22:28:20
billynapishere	Raise	$ 6.00	22:28:27
MD_Joel	Call	$ 3.00	22:28:28
	Betting round completed	Last active pot = $17.40	22:28:28
	Card dealt to table	4c	22:28:28
MD_Joel	Check		22:28:31
billynapishere	All-in	$ 20.53	22:28:39
MD_Joel	Call	$ 20.53	22:28:40
	Betting round completed	Last active pot = $0.00 Side pot 7 = $58.46	22:28:42
	Card dealt to table	7d	22:28:42
	Rake amount	$ 1.50	22:28:44
	Betting round completed	Last active pot = $0.00 Side pot 7 = $56.96	22:28:44
MD_Joel	Showdown	Show card: Pair As Ac Kc Qc 7d	22:28:44
billynapishere	Showdown	Show card: Pair As Ah Kc Jh 7d	22:28:44
MD_Joel	Hand result	$ 56.96	22:28:44

I thought about it for a bit. Here was my thought at the time (and I've been pondering it ever since...):

I probably never should have been re-raising this pot; I’m out of position and the player is somewhat unknown. However, let the chips fall where they may. I re-raised him pre, and he called. Right then, I knew he didn't have AA, and LIKELY did not have KK. I put him on AK at the time, but with an 80 cent first raise, and a call to my re raise, I thought AQ, KQs, AJs, etc. (the standard going raise was at least $1.00; sometimes $2.00). Still, I wanted to play it safe and see what happens, because AQs is not the utmost premium hand, and I’m out of position. Flop comes AK rag. I lead out, he didn't back down, but he didn't put all in there; that told me he wasn't sure he was ahead, so he min raises me. Therefore, I’m going to play it safe myself and flat call his re-raise. All of a sudden, with a "inconsequential" 4 of clubs, which gives 2 possible flush draws (and me in particular a flush draw), he insta-all-ins my check. My check was because I wanted to see if he had AK and how and if he bets it.

This turn of events presented me with a few thoughts and 2 [obviously] tough decisions. He could be drawing on spades, which gives him air at this point and a partial bluff bet. Less likely, but still possible, he could be drawing clubs, though, again, I have the AQ, so his best card could be a J club – perhaps putting him on a JTs. He could have Ace rag, and on the turn hit his 4 (rag), which was extremely unlikely due to his pre flop raise, called pre flop re-raise, and re-raised flop. He could have a set of 4’s, which would be next to impossible (he would have shut it down and ESPECIALLY not re-raised the flop). That said, I left his range on AA (unlikely since I held an A), KK (perhaps, but he would have been more aggressive pre flop and flop), AK (again, unlikely because he would have been more aggressive flop) or A and “good” kicker.

At that point, I flipped a coin, because I had one drawing card (club) and it was possible that he had just an A kicker, at which point I’m favored / tie. Why would he raise all in on the turn if he had AK? He would have re raised on the flop with all in if he had AK. I most certainly would have folded there, because I didn’t have a ton of money committed to the pot and my hand probably wouldn’t get any better. He set up the whole hand by managing the pot on the flop (not letting it get too too huge). All of a sudden, all in though? He’s either on a draw, which I can go to the matt with him for, or he doesn't have anything. No two pair, no set, just a pair of Aces. In which case, I have him beat crushed.

Certainly, it was gutsy of him to re raise on the flop in retrospect, but a min raise was not going to get me out if he was afraid of a drawing flush, especially after I led out for $3.00. He showed weakness, followed up by overplaying the turn.