Friday, August 27, 2010

What would you do? #169 - Holding pp KK to 3rd barrel

I'm continuing to find the play on Bodog simply awful.  I am running circles around these guys to the rate of 15PTBB/100 in limited volume (2k hands this month).  I find myself in need to playing 25NL because of my limited bankroll, but overall, it's like taking candy from a baby.  The players are SO SO VERY passive.  As further example, I'm running a 30/20 on the FULL RING tables.  I'm simply running these guys over.

Here's a hand that's been bothering me:

Bodog $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $5.90
UTG: $24.75
UTG+1: $35.85
UTG+2: $29.34 - 34/10/21% steal / 4.5% 3bet / 1.9AF / 231 hands
MP1: $24.40
Hero (MP2): $24.80
CO: $35.37
BTN: $29.45
SB: $22.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP2 with Kd Ks
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, BTN calls $1.25, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $1

Flop: ($4.10) 4s Td 4d (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $3.00, Hero calls $3, BTN folds
Plan is to keep letting him bet; I don't want to push him off of his hand.

Turn: ($10.10) 2s (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $6.00, Hero calls $6
And keep betting he does...

River: ($22.10) Tc (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $11.00, Hero folds
Now what do you do here?  Is this a bad fold?  Normally, I wouldn't think twice about this fold, but given the play here, there are a ton of hands I'm ahead of and vice-versa.  Understand that the play at Bodog is to limp and trap with overpairs and/or AK.  People will 3barrel (and shove / call a shove) with AK high on the river.  I'm really unsure about this fold.  Clearly, a 34/10 could show up with AT, A4, 45, etc.  What do you think?

Final Pot: $22.10
UTG+2 wins $21.00
(Rake: $1.10)
Posted by The Poker Meister at 8/27/2010 08:00:00 AM
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7 comments:

  1. matt tagAugust 27, 2010 at 8:17 AM

    call and pay it off. you've shown no aggression, and the board never changes to the point where he would think any other PP is suddenly bad.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousAugust 27, 2010 at 8:35 AM

    I think he bluff/shows up with worse often enough to call. You only need to be right 1 out of 4 times to make money on the call.

    This could be a crazy bluff, he could be value betting A hi, or any pocket pair > 44

    ReplyDelete
  3. SirFWALGManAugust 27, 2010 at 10:43 AM

    That is the worst fold I have ever seen.

    ReplyDelete
  4. BrianAugust 27, 2010 at 11:47 AM

    Def call river. Ur hand is severely underrepped. Ina more drawyboard I shove turn. He shows up with AT-JT, pairs 5-JJ a lot. Onlyhands u r scared of are TT, ramdom 4s like A4, 45s, etc. KK is a good bit ahead of that range IMO

    ReplyDelete
  5. SeanAugust 27, 2010 at 11:54 AM

    I agree, I think you need to call. The bet-bet-bet pattern is often a bluff (missed diamond draw) although it is also consistent with a T in his hand or an overpair you beat. I think you'll win enough times to make it worth it.

    ReplyDelete
  6. The Poker MeisterAugust 27, 2010 at 3:04 PM

    LOL Waffles. I can always count on your levity. Of course, I plan on calling / raising the river if the T doesn't rear its ugly head. I think if I'm ahead, I'm pushing (I think there's like $3 behind), but obviously, given the response far in favor of calling, this is why I posted the hand up there. I just can't see (even an idiot) 3 barrelling pairs, etc. without either a T or 4. It's such an adjustment playing at Bodog... you honestly never know what they're going to show up with.

    ReplyDelete
  7. BrianAugust 27, 2010 at 3:11 PM

    I actually misread the HH with a T river...but I do think it is still a call.

    ReplyDelete

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