Thursday, August 5, 2010

The Poker Meister #69 - River suckout

I just love J9s.  I'm surprised to see villain's hand, but not surprised with the result.

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $44.25
BB: $56.40
UTG: $22.40
UTG+1: $93.60
UTG+2: $54.30
Hero (MP1): $50.40
MP2: $26.95
CO: $16.50
BTN: $62.95

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP1 with 9h Jh
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, MP2 calls $1.75, 2 folds, SB calls $1.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($5.75) Kd Tc 8c (3 players)
SB checks, Hero requests TIME, Hero bets $3.50, MP2 raises to $10.75, SB folds, Hero calls $7.25

Turn: ($27.25) 2d (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $14.45 all in, Hero calls $14.45

River: ($56.15) 7d (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $56.15
Hero shows 9h Jh (a straight, Jack high)
MP2 shows Ad Ah (a pair of Aces)
Hero wins $53.35
(Rake: $2.80)
Posted by The Poker Meister at 8/05/2010 03:00:00 PM
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3 comments:

  1. matt tagAugust 5, 2010 at 3:45 PM

    you didn't have immediate odds on the turn bet to call, did you?

    $41.70 / $14.45 = 2.89:1 odds, means you need need to win about 26% of the time to break even.

    Odds of hitting your straight are about 16% with one card to come.

    And two of your outs might be compromised if he's got a club draw/redraw (say AcKc).

    Note: NOT criticizing, just working thru the math.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousAugust 5, 2010 at 4:36 PM

    so you fold over pairs and call flop raises w/ open-enders...

    want to play some $25/$50?

    jk. nice suckout.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The Poker MeisterAugust 6, 2010 at 9:12 AM

    It's so funny. I love the not-so-often Poker Meister post comments. J9s is obviously my leak hand. However, it usually hits so strong for me. I know it's illogical if you've been reading this blog long enough, but look at the 68 other J9s hands and you'll see that J9s is a nice money maker for me. I usually can get away with calling for wrong odds and get the win regardless :-). Again, illogical. I catch a ton of flack for doing it; it is bad play - no doubt. Somehow it always manages to work for me.

    ReplyDelete

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