I came across an interesting spot the other day where I held the nuts, but was trying to figure out the maximum payoff for the river bet.
Full Tilt Poker $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (CO): $37.44
BTN: $25.10
SB: $59.91
BB: $8.50
UTG: $12.01
UTG+1: $25.00
UTG+2: $59.29
MP1: $27.28
MP2: $7.29
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 7d 6s
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, BTN calls $0.85, 2 folds
Flop: ($2.05) 5d 4s Ac (2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.55) 3d (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, BTN calls $2.50
I get there, but I'm pretty sure BTN is not showing up with a deuce. However, at this point, I'm putting him on a strong Ace, and I don't believe he's going away. However, I don't think I'm going to be able to get stacks in.
River: ($9.55) 2h (2 players)
Hero bets $32.84 all in, BTN calls $20.50 all in
What is the best bet to make here? From my opponent's mind, we're playing the board. I've bet all the way through; in his eyes, I have a strong Ace as well. I thought about what will pay the most here and came to the conclusion that a shove very much looks like a frustration bet where I realize the he just sucked out on me. I can represent a ton of hands that have been relegated to a split. Therefore, I go from a pot size of $10 to leading all-in ($33).
Final Pot: $50.55
Hero shows 7d 6s (a straight, Seven high)
BTN mucks 9s As
Hero wins $48.03
(Rake: $2.52)
Episode 437: Mickey Wang
4 days ago
love it. great use of the overbet
ReplyDeleteeasy shove and hope he calls. He only has to call a relatively small percent to show a profit. BTW if you has AK and were Villain, are you calling the shove?
ReplyDeleteMake it even worse than AK - if I have AAA and get shoved on, it is a good WWYD. I simply don't see this type of behavior too much at these levels, so I haven't been confronted with this spot yet. I don't know - what would you guys do?
ReplyDeleteI think this is a perfect Brunson type play (I think that's where I read it originally), in that even if I am playing the board, it is a situation where if I can expect a fold even 5% of the time, it is a worthwhile shove. I've done this before and gotten folds from people; i.e. A K Q J T rainbow boards and shoved... seen people stupidly fold. This works particularly well when the board is something like a 3 flush (running) board such as above. They usually can't call the shove.