Wednesday, January 27, 2010

What would you do? #50 - Facing river shove on a 4 straight board

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP2: $41.25
CO: $33.25
BTN: $55.05
SB: $31.70
BB: $40.90 - 100% VPIP @ 6 hands (is that enough history to make a generalization of this player?)
UTG: $66.35
UTG+1: $34.05
UTG+2: $63.55
Hero (MP1): $52.75

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP1 with Ad Ah
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, 4 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) Qd Jh Kc (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

Turn: ($7.75) 4c (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4

River: ($15.75) As (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BB raises to $33.15 all in, Hero calls $25.65
Is this easier than I'm making it out to be? Anyone folding here?

Final Pot: $82.05
BB shows Kh 6s (a pair of Kings)
Hero shows Ad Ah (three of a kind, Aces)
Hero wins $79.05
(Rake: $3.00)

2 comments:

  1. Meister,

    I'm folding here! Doesn't a T make a lot of sense? Are you telling me that you're putting him on a suicide bluff?

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  2. I guess I should have said this was from the Rush tables. However, the only hands that would be calling, out of position, with a MP1 raise are AT (flopped the nuts), KT or TT. I have to believe that not only am I going to expect to see a lot of action prior to the river with an OESD + pair, but I wouldn't expect him to try to get it all in on the river.

    I don't know; lately I've been finding these spots - seeing these "holes" where I'm getting thin value out of my hands. I'm betting rivers where I would normally check through for fear that my opponent hit his hand. Not only that, but I'm getting the calls from the lesser hands.

    I don't know if this is an aberration or this is the way poker is meant to be played, but I feel like if I'm getting stacked on the river with top set, so be it. Checking through the river is not netting me extra value; particularly when I just hit the second nuts. In my mind, it doesn't make sense for the BB to show up with a T. It makes more sense that he's making his delayed play on the river, thinking his 2 pair are good. It's actually kind of shocking that he's stacking off so light with a naked King.

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