Friday, October 29, 2010

What would you do? #200 - Paired board + 3flush to strong river bet

Been busy with work lately; sorry for the lack of posts.  As a result, I've been playing Rush quite a bit.  Here's a hand for you:

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Hand History Converter

MP2: $40.00
CO: $119.25 - 11/8/4.4% 3bet/ 21 %steal / 1.9AF @ 200 hands
BTN: $43.25
SB: $221.25
BB: $126.75
Hero (UTG): $355.75
UTG+1: $167.95
UTG+2: $75.70
MP1: $49.15

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with Qd Qh
Hero raises to $3, 4 folds, CO calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 8c 5c Ts (2 players)
Hero bets $4, CO raises to $14, Hero calls $10

Turn: ($35.50) 6d (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($35.50) Tc (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $26, Hero requests TIME, Hero ???

Click to see results

Hero folds
No idea about this one. I'm beating bluffs, clearly. Is this guy calling PF with Tx? I don't think so. Is he calling with AKc or some such combo? Perhaps. It just feels much more like a value bet coming from this guy. Check raise the flop with 2 overs + flush draw. Check through the turn for a freebie. Yada yada yada...

Final Pot: $35.50
CO wins $33.75
(Rake: $1.75)


  1. Glad to see my thinking is exactly like yours. You either got setmined and he hit 55/88, or he has club broadway (AK/AQ/KQ).

    Less likely are TT (why would he check turn with trips, though after you continue?), or maybe JJ (seems like he would 3bet JJ though).

    And finally there are bluffs or weak made hands you beat (99/77). It's possible that he raises your cbet as a "bullshit, you missed that board" deal, then takes a stab when you check the turn. I would want to know he's capable of a big river bluff, though, and a 1.9 AF doesn't really suggest this. Do you have his WTSD and W$SD?

  2. i think the river fold is trivial, I think the question here ... is the turn check the best play?


Blog Archive