Friday, October 2, 2009

What would you do? #7

Yet another situation where I'm way ahead / way behind. What do you do in this spot?

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players -
The Official Hand History Converter

BB: $70.60
UTG: $47.50 - 33/11/inf @ 19 hands
Hero (UTG+1): $51.75
MP1: $53.00
MP2: $35.65
CO: $50.00
BTN: $37.20
SB: $3.55

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG+1 with Tc Td
UTG calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, 1 fold, MP2 calls $2.25, 4 folds, UTG calls $1.75

Flop: ($7.50) 9h 6h 2h (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $4.25, MP2 folds, UTG raises to $10.50, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls $6.25
Flopped overpair. All heart board. What are the hands that he can be check / raising but limping / calling the pre flop?

In retrospect, it was a bad call on the end (I wanted to see what he would do on the next street), but I get away from his turn BIG bet.

Turn: ($28.50) 8s (2 players)
UTG bets $19.50, Hero folds
Are you calling this? Or better, are you calling the check / raise flop? The only hands I can put him on are 99, 66, 22 or (obviously, but less likely) hearts. What about if the next card is a 10s? Would you be calling in that spot - I think [obviously] more likely, but this is not a pretty board...

Final Pot: $28.50
UTG wins $27.10
(Rake: $1.40)

1 comment:

  1. I think villain's range is much wider than a set or made flush. If he made his hand on that board he would have been protecting it greater and trying to extract more value when a lot of turn cards could destory his hand -- a heart if he has a set, a fourth heart if he has a vulnerable flush, or an overcard if he has top pair. Hero bet a little more than half the pot on a board unlikely to have made his hand based on the pre-flop raise. Nonetheless Hero reveals significant strength of his hand, so if the villain really made a hand better than one pair, he should be looking to get his stack in as quickly as possible and not to get cute with fancy small-check-raises. Because Hero knows the villain to be aggro [despite the small sample size, let's just assume that the villain legitimately is a 33/11] semi-bluffs are def in villain's range as are plenty non-suited Ax garbage hands. Based on that, I believe an Ah-Xx is in his range, as well as Kh9x, 78o with one heart and other similar type hands with seemingly "big" draws for someone that is aggro playing at a 33 VPIP.


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