Thursday, October 22, 2009

What would you do? #13

Normally, this is not such an interesting hand. However, I got involved in this hand with a 14/11/1.2 over 90+ hands, which was the interesting part. So here's the what would you do? of the day:

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Hold'em - 8 players -
The Official Hand History Converter

SB: $56.90
BB: $76.60
UTG: $50.00
UTG+1: $41.30
MP1: $47.00
MP2: $51.80
CO: $54.85
Hero (BTN): $120.80

UTG+1 posts a big blind ($0.50)

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 7h 6h
1 fold, UTG+1 checks, 2 folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero raises to $3, 3 folds, CO calls $2.50
Standard punish the limpers raise.

Flop: ($7.50) 8d 7s Ks (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $4, CO calls $4
Two spades, and a K is well in my range; I have reason to bet with the two spade draw-ey board.

Turn: ($15.50) 6d (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $12, CO calls $12
Here's where it gets interesting: I turn two pair. I'm less concerned about the CO completing his straight more than I'm concerned about the flush draw I'm putting him on. I don't think a 14/11 is limp / calling T9o... if he has Ts9s, then I would have expected a 3 bet flop. I definitely don't expect him showing up with 56, he's a fairly "smart" player in the hands I've seen to date. Therefore, what range am I putting him on? All manner of Kings, for starters - KQ, AK (likely would have raise / 3 bet flop), KJ (less likely from a 14/11), or a stubborn pocket pair.

River: ($39.50) Js (2 players)
CO bets $35.85 all in, Hero ???

What are you doing in this spot? It is totally marginal - I think I'm way ahead / way behind here. He can be slow playing a set, rivered a higher two pair, etc. Question is, does a 14/11/1.2 shove a river for value?

Click to see results

Hero calls $35.85
Final Pot: $111.20 CO shows 5h 5d (a pair of Fives)
Hero shows 7h 6h (two pair, Sevens and Sixes)
Hero wins $108.20 (Rake: $3.00)

Edit: I'm getting a little fancier on this blog; I have figured out how to show / hide results. I'm going to be doing this for future postings.

1 comment:

  1. Snap-fold. He's never doing this with AK or less. If he had AK or AA, I suspect he would have done the following:

    -lead the flop
    -lead the turn
    -check-raised the flop
    -possibly check-call the river
    -not shove the river

    I doubt he is ever bluffing you out in this spot. I was thinking AsQs, AsJs, As10s or 9s10s all within his range and reasonable holdings based on his line. He knew he was fishing with his hand so he shoves the river hoping to get maximum value to justify his lack of pot/implied odds.


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