Wednesday, October 14, 2009

What would you do? #10

I have been taking the I received as part of my 5500 points that I earned last month via CardRunners videos (actually I've watched 1 video). In one of the videos, there were two things I picked up: don't give players with a small hand history a ton of credit, and another point which I will get into in another post.

Back to the hand: I have virtually no history on the villain. 0/0 @ 7 hands

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players -
The Official Hand History Converter

SB: $24.45
BB: $63.40
Hero (UTG): $52.55
UTG+1: $19.50
MP1: $50.00
MP2: $20.35
CO: $10.00
BTN: $37.25

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with Qs Qd
Hero raises to $1.75, UTG+1 calls $1.75, MP1 raises to $6, 5 folds, Hero calls $4.25, 1 fold
Am I set mining QQ? This is a sizable 3 bet and MP1 had not been involved in a hand prior to now (though 7 hands is hardly a sample size). I consider folding right here, but after careful thought, I decide to take a flop to see where we go.

Flop: ($14.50) Ah 5s Ad (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $7, Hero calls $7
Is this a terrible flop? Out of position, it probably is. MP1 leads out for half pot; is he really doing this with AK or AA or AQ (FAR LESS LIKELY BECAUSE I HOLD 2 QUEENS)? I expect a check through if he flopped quads or trips simply based on the fact that he's hoping I "catch up." This half pot bet smells like he's trying to push me off the pot.

Turn: ($28.50) 6c (2 players)
Hero bets $10, MP1 folds
As I snap called the flop, I thought for a moment: If I check, he likely does not hold an A, and will check behind, based on my c/c on the flop. He's as afraid of the A as I am... Therefore, I make a quick probing bet here on the turn (turning my hand into a semi-bluff); a bet large enough that he will not call without an Ace, but small enough that I am not setting myself up to go broke. At this point, there is a little less than half my stack in the middle. If he raises here, I can get away from the hand. If he calls here, I c/c this down to see a showdown. I think he's equally scared of me, and at this point I believe he has KK, QQ or JJ.

Final Pot: $28.50
Hero wins $27.10
(Rake: $1.40)

1 comment:

  1. 1) Does the villain ever call your $10 bet on the turn with anything less than Ax or even KK. Are you ever raised there with a hand that doesn't have QQ beat?

    2) While I believe $10 does achieve the objective of figuring out where you're at, do you think this is a good bet in terms of getting value vs. getting off of your hand? It's a tricky spot, but I think you're logic is correct since you're in a way ahead or way behind scenario


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