Wednesday, March 31, 2010

What would you do? #74 - facing river raise on paired board

Rush poker:

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $45.75
MP1: $110.15
MP2: $36.35
CO: $104.10
BTN: $49.50
Hero (SB): $176.40
BB: $40.15
UTG: $54.40
UTG+1: $104.90

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with 4c Kc
5 folds, CO calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

Flop: ($2.00) 3d 5c 2s (4 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1, CO folds, BTN calls $1, Hero calls $1
Backdoor flush + open ended straight... let's go!

Turn: ($5.00) 6c (3 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $2.50, BTN folds, Hero raises to $7.50, BB calls $5

River: ($20.00) 6h (2 players)
Hero bets $15, BB raises to $30, Hero ???

Click to see results

Hero calls $15
I think this is probably a stupid lead on my part. I think, given the action, I have to put him on 2 pair or a set on the turn. I didn't raise NEARLY enough on the turn, but I was putting him on a weak pair (or I'm freerolling with him holding a 4) since he's in the BB. What I should have considered is: is he ever flatting the raise with a 4 on the turn? Also, are 1 pair hands (perhaps overpairs may) flatting the 4 straight raised board?

Also, as to the river, is he ever raising with less than a boat or a 4 on the river with a 4 straight board? I cost myself quite a bit of money leading the river, but I wanted value since he called the turn (i.e. I didn't want him to check behind).
Costly lesson...

Final Pot: $80.00
Hero mucks 4c Kc
BB shows 6d 3c (a full house, Sixes full of Threes)
BB wins $77.00
(Rake: $3.00)

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