Thursday, March 4, 2010

What would you do? #62 - Facing river shove to nasty board with a set

58/16 with 1.1 AF @ 19 hands

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $28.50
BB: $25.00
UTG: $60.15
UTG+1: $35.00
MP1: $50.00
Hero (MP2): $79.60
CO: $50.00
BTN: $44.50

UTG+1 posts a big blind ($0.50)

Pre Flop: ($1.25) Hero is MP2 with Ts Td
1 fold, UTG+1 checks, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, CO calls $2.25, BTN calls $2.25, 3 folds

Flop: ($8.00) Th 9h 8d (3 players)
Hero bets $5, CO calls $5, BTN calls $5

Turn: ($23.00) Js (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $10, Hero calls $10, CO calls $10

River: ($53.00) 4h (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $27.25 all in, Hero folds, CO folds
There's a lot out there that's killing me. Any Q or 7, any 2 hearts.

Final Pot: $53.00
BTN wins $50.35
(Rake: $2.65)
Posted by The Poker Meister at 3/04/2010 08:00:00 AM
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2 comments:

  1. AnonymousMarch 4, 2010 at 8:31 AM

    Fold. You're crushed. He isn't value shoving a smaller set, 2 pair, or AJ (or something just as dumb). This isn't $25/$50 where you need to call with stuff like this.

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  2. SeanMarch 4, 2010 at 10:33 AM

    Yeah, I think fold is good.

    While his action isn't incredibly convincing (since the jack hit the turn, it doesn't fit hands as well and might make two pair), then he leads into two players after the flush hits. It is a pretty strong line since he's leading into two players on a dangerous board after a flush draw came in.

    Plus, you've got a guy behind you who could easily be on a flush draw. I feel like he could be bluffing some percentage of a time (or value-betting two pair) but probably not enough to make a call profitable with a third player in the pot.

    ReplyDelete

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