Monday, November 22, 2010

What would you do? #206 - TPGK against a LAGgy 2/3 pot river bet

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $50.00
MP2: $51.50
CO: $40.75
BTN: $31.80
SB: $50.00
BB: $65.95 - 35 / 8 / 7.7% 3bet / 17% steal / 2.4AF / 42 hands
UTG: $54.25
Hero (UTG+1): $61.90

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG+1 with Ks Qc
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BTN calls $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.75) 6h 5d Qs (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BTN folds, BB calls $2.50

Turn: ($9.75) Js (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5, BB raises to $10, Hero calls $5

River: ($29.75) 6d (2 players)
BB bets $20, Hero requests TIME, Hero ???
A little background: In the 42 hands, he has yet to check / raise ever. It's just such an odd spot for a check / raise on the turn. Even so, are you making the call on the river?


Click to see results


Hero folds
I just can't see him wanting to stack off with anything less than QJ, which is what I suspect. There are a few draws on the turn, but I can't see him c/r'ing the turn with draws. This is such a marginal fold against a total LAGbot...

Final Pot: $29.75
BB wins $28.30
(Rake: $1.45)

4 comments:

  1. I dont like calling here either. Can we bet more on the turn please? Given that he is a loose player and has called a raise pre-flop and a cbet on the flop while OOP, I see no reason why we can't go for around $7 to $7.50 on the turn as opposed to a half potter for $5. Plus, when you get raised on the turn with a larger bet, its easier to pitch the hand when you get check-raised given the amount of strength you've shown.

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  3. Man who is this Matt Tag and when can I sit a cash table with him? He wants to fold in every situation, every time.

    In this case I like the fold as well. I figure you're up against KJ or something like that. I don't think calling down with TPGK on the river after getting called on the flop, raised on the turn and then bet out strong on the river is a winning strategy over time.

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