Thursday, January 6, 2011

What would you do? #215 - Bottom pair facing river "value" bet

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $41.25
UTG+2: $50.00
MP1: $17.70
MP2: $32.75
CO: $18.85
BTN: $46.20 - 25/0 / 2.3AF / 16 hands
Hero (SB): $50.00

BB: $85.40
UTG: $50.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with 3c Qc
6 folds, BTN calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

Flop: ($1.50) 7c 4h 2c (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN bets $3, Hero calls $3, BB folds

Turn: ($7.50) 3d (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls $3.50

River: ($14.50) Th (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6, Hero ???

Click to see results

Hero calls $6
I feel like a random is three barrelling with sets / two pair or air / bluffs. There's not much for this board where he's showing up with strong hands, and betting small on the river... He just doesn't seem that pressed to get stacks in, but he continues to bet. If he's 3 streeting, he's definitely betting more on the turn and much more on the river. This seems to be a fairly safe board to call down bottom pair.

It wreaks of a missed hand which has showdown value, but more importantly wants to fold out weak hands which have it beat.

Final Pot: $26.50
BTN shows Kh Ah (Ace King high)
Hero shows 3c Qc (a pair of Threes)
Hero wins $25.20
(Rake: $1.30)


  1. AKs, open limp on the button. LOL. Maybe I should move up to NL50...

  2. def looks weak/blockerish but you will see a hand like 4x/55 pretty often so I prefer raising river really big like $27... you will occasionally get owned by a hand like AT/Txcc but I think it works very often vs this type of fish (only has to work ~57%) and is probs higher EV than calling

    I haven't tried putting together a solid range and counting combos so that's something to do if you can be bothered... turning made hands into bluffs is something I've been experimenting with recently with decent success, always important to consider all your options :)


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