Monday, June 22, 2009

Set over set over set

After much cynicism, I am actually surprised to not be on the bottom of this set over set over set situation. There is nothing very interesting about this hand, other than the fact that we each hit our sets. Fortunately (for once) I came out on top and my Aces [finally] held.

I was looking in my 25K hand history and found that I flop sets about 1 in 14, when the statistical mean for flopping a set is 1 in 8. Oh dear, I do run bad... and now I have data to back it up. Regardless, I played about 800 hands last night, and am happy with the result.

Full Tilt Pot-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from

MP1 ($18.43)
MP2 ($2)
Hero (CO) ($9.84)
Button ($4.89)
SB ($4.56)
BB ($5.17)
UTG ($3.35)
UTG+1 ($3.51)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Ad, As
1 fold, UTG calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero bets $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.20, UTG calls $0.20

Both players have been tight in about 40-50 hands of history. I don't put SB on 10's but in retrospect, I am surprised that there wasn't a RR PF. I am happy, though, because UTG's 44 would have likely folded to an RR.

Flop: ($0.90) 4h, Ac, Qd (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, SB calls $0.10

Turn: ($1.20) 7s (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, SB calls $0.60

River: ($3) 10s (3 players)
SB bets $3, UTG calls $2.35 (All-In), Hero raises to $8.84 (All-In), SB calls $0.56 (All-In)

Total pot: $12.47 | Rake: $0.83

SB had 10h, 10d (three of a kind, tens).
UTG had 4d, 4c (three of a kind, fours).
Hero had Ad, As (three of a kind, Aces).
Outcome: Hero won $11.64
I feel for the UTG who flopped the set. SB should lose his entire bankroll for this one. What an ass! He bets out on the turn losing to any Ace or Queen? Oh, you're representing! Oh yeah! Well, pal, you got caught, you idiot. You get what you deserve; you think you sucked out on me. Well, every other time you and your friends may do that, but not this time pal. Not this time.

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