When it's the winner, of course! Silly goose!I'm going to cease the caveat / apology that I have no way of reconstructing the hand in a standardized way. I'll share the hand history with you, of course, but you need to sign up for an account in order to view it. Use my link at the side if you're able to give me a referral :-).
Now for the good times!
Some background: I have no idea what this player is doing. He's relatively new to the table.
.05/.10 poker - moderately deep-stacked with $19.61 effective.
Folds around to me in the cutoff and I look down at 9d9h. I open a standard 3x ($0.30). SB 3bets to $1.20... now, given that he's a new-ish player, I'm not going to give a 3bet automatic respect. He's seen me play a bit, so he realizes I'm pretty aggro - so this could be a possible play at shutting me down. He has $30.91 behind. BB folds & I flat, opting to avoid getting it in for 200BB. Take a flop; why not?
$2.50 in the pot - flop comes JhAsJd and he immediately leads for $0.60(????) I call - and I'm probably in call down mode if he's giving me a cheap check/down.
$3.70 in the pot - turn is 5h putting out a 2 heart flush draw potential, but otherwise should be inconsequential. He checks and I happily check through.
$3.70 in the pot - river is a 3d, again a blank. He checks for the 2nd time. By this point, he can have Ax (not real likely because he effectively shut down on the flop (6x into 25x is not a very solid bet) and checked down... The concern is that he has an Ax that's afraid of trip Jacks, or an Ax that's afraid of a better Ax. There's always the lingering Jx concern, but I'm giving that a very small possibility given how the hand is going down. Finally, I think there's a lot of 88-KK in his PF 3bet range.
Perhaps I'm over-thinking it... However, that's what I'm targeting - the 88-KK (obviously not JJ) hands. I want a bet sizing that feels value-ish and by no means screams "fold fold fold," because I want him believing my Ax (more likely that I have an Ace from his perspective) is going for value. I select around 1/2 - 2/3 at $2.45 and get snapped off - surely a goner! But no, he shows Kc9c(?!?!?!?!?!) Nice $8.17 scoop!
Again, when is a bluff not a bluff?
