Poker has been terrible for me this year. I say that tongue in cheek; I've played little more than 5 sessions - if that much. I've been working a lot lately, going back through last year and, in fact, my overall poker sessions are way down against my prior year(s) averages. Therefore, I supposed I'm being quite myopic in my overall outlook because of limited data points. As it stands, I'm in the hole for a couple of buy ins, a situation I'm not accustomed to. I realize that it's an ego thing and I'm probably being too pessimistic since there are 9 months remaining in the year, but I worry that I'll not be able to catch up on the deficit given the rate I'm playing. I hate being in deficit territory!
Further increasing my deficit, telling for the title of the post, I'm here in Melbourne, Florida, for work. As usual, I try to get a feel for the local poker scene, and had an opportunity to play for 2 hours last night at Club 52 @ Melbourne Greyhound Park.
After an up and down ride, I find myself sitting on my original buy in (~$200) - it's a 1/2 game. After a couple of limps, I raise to $12 with TT. 2 players call as do the original 2 limps. We see a 5-way flop of T 9 7 rainbow it gets checked to me. I want players in the pot, and it's very likely I'll get action from this kind of flop. I'm targeting hands like QJ, Tx, random 8's, random J's, etc. This board hits a lot of 4 other player's ranges, and a bet with a vulnerable "nut" top set hand requires a bet. I lead for $35, wanting to keep in the more likely gut shot J's and open enders. Much to my chagrin, it folds around to the one aggro player who's been hitting the cards like a fiend. He check raises me to $80 or so. I'm never letting this go, and the way he's been going, I don't doubt he has a nut-like hand or monster draw (pair and straight draw, overs and straight draw, set, etc.). I don't want a card on the turn / river discouraging further action from him or me, so I opt to get it in right there on the flop - I shove for ~$180. He snap calls and immediately flips over 99 for a flopped mid set. Before I can even flip my hand over, the dealer puts out a 9, his one out, completing quads for him! This is now the second time in Florida (and the second time in live poker) that I've been one-outted (in 2014 at the Hard Rock / Tampa, I flopped a set of K's over a set of 8's and he also turned quads). That ended my session on a sour note, further pushing me into loss territory for the year.
Side note: as it so happens, a few of the first round games of the NCAA basketball tournament are going to be played in Jacksonville - a 2 hour drive from here. As a University of Maryland alum, I love to watch the Terps play, but haven't yet had an opportunity to watch a tournament game up close & personal. Therefore, I'm extending my trip to drive up to Jacksonville to watch the Terps hopefully win its first round game and move on to the round of 32! Maybe I'll be able to hit bestbet Jacksonville again?
Wednesday, March 20, 2019
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hows the situation for hotels both cheap and safe within walking distance of the poker room? any $1-2 PLO?
ReplyDeleteNot sure if it's safe, Tony. It's in a residential area down the street from a Walmart, and the area seems to be okay. It's a locals room. There is an occasional 1/2 PLO that runs.
DeleteThat's brutal (poker) but at least UMD won the first round game.
ReplyDeleteThat was awesome! The seats I got from a friend were 3rd row back, sitting in front of Darryl Morsell's family. Joe Smith was right in front of me! Very cool!
DeleteThe poker gods are a fickle group. At least the villain was making a good play.
ReplyDeleteNo kidding...
ReplyDeleteI'd consider larger sizing pre-flop and cbet sizing on the flop. It really sucks to get called in 4 places and it's very hard to realize the full equity of a hand this strong. You could literally put 4 random trash hands that you dominate against your hand in an equity calculator and you'll notice it's really hard to have more than 25% equity. When you thin the field down to 3 or preferably get it heads-up, your win rate increases dramatically up to 75%+. On the flop, I don't know what position you were in (MP?), but I'm ok with large sizing or going for a check-jam if you think the players behind you will bet when checked to at a high frequency when not being the pre-flop raiser. However, I don't really like this ~50% pot sizing. Think about it...any open-ender, for which there are a ton, is never folding to this sizing and you are giving them equilibrium odds to call with some implied odds upside. Not exactly max-torture for them. Also this is a very dynamic board where nearly all broadways, middling pairs, suited connectors hit it quite hard. For that reason you are allowed to size up like crazy, given you'll find a lot of buyers on the market.
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