First, a Hand History for all to see how I [possibly] butchered a hand:
Played a bit more 2/5 the other night. It's going to be awhile until I'm back in the saddle as my wife & I are going on a little vacation. Anyway, I'd like to share a hand which I'm not sure I blundered or just got unlucky:
QsTs - I raise to $40 into 5 limpers; semi-loose UTG older guy with
gruff attitude calls. I have $650 in front of me, and he's sitting on
around $1400, chipping up steadily all night. He's been continually
making un-callable bets, and I've been putting him on a lot of bluffs
even though I have yet to truly tango with him. I've seen him make
large cbets with middle pairs (i.e. A9o on a J 9 3 board - and he got me
to fold QJo) and call a river bluff vs. bottom pair. He knows how to
play.
Anyway, I smash the flop; we see a flop of QdQh9s.
My plan
is to check here, as I had been cbetting every hand all night and not
getting any value. Against this particular guy, my cbets were met with auto-folds. I also think that this guy is going to bluff a high
percentage of the time when he sees a check on the flop, particularly when I change my patterns by not cbetting.
The
turn is an offsuit 3, completing the rainbow board. I "weak" (what I felt was weak for me as I had been cbetting close to pot for most of the night) lead for
$55 into the $~110 pot and he snap check / raises me to $200, as per my plan. I "hesitate" for a good long while and decide on calling -
raising here is only going to push him off of his bluffs, while I'm
getting crushed by better Q's.
The river is an A, which
I think is a great card. His "bluffs" now have impetus to call the
river when I shove over his expected continuation bluff if he was
bluffing with an A, etc. and he "caught me." As expected, he fires out another $200 and I
snap raise him the remaining $195 on top. He thinks for a good long
time and calls with 3 3 for the turned boat - I suppose he was afraid of AQ, AA, QQ?
A couple of comments on this hand from my perspective:
- I'm not 100% sure I like the check on the flop, but if I do wind up cbetting instead, I think it folds most of his hands as per prior history. If he opts to float me in disbelief, we get it all in on the turn anyway. My point, though, is that I doubt he'll c/r on the flop and wait until the turn to put me to the test. If he does c/r the flop, I'm taking the same line I took above where I flat him and call the turn / river.
- I think I hate my river shove. I fell into a static thought process where "this is my plan all along and it's working." The reality is, who is calling the shove? Very few hands call that. I should have saved the $200 additional.
Here is the What Would You Do of the week:
Granted, it's a bit simpler, but here goes...
I raise to $30 in the CO with AcJc into 2 limpers (tight MP & loose UTG). I get a call from the UTG; the tight MP folds.
Of note, I've played 1.5 hours with him during this session - I haven't seen him get completely out of line, but he does limp / call a HUGE variety of crazy hands. He's shown down a bunch of random 2 pairs by the river, etc. Preflop, he's been fairly passive, but he can be semi-aggro post flop.
We see a 2-way flop of Td9dTs - $70 in the pot.
It checks to me and I cbet $45. He calls.
Turn is 2s and we check through.
River is Js and UTG leads $115 into the $160 pot. WWYD?
Click to see results
There's so many busted straight draws / flush draws + QJ given his wide range that in particular that are betting this after I check the turn for pot control. Clearly, he's repping a Tx hand, but I have to think he wants value from those hands, not folds. Is it likely that he makes a big bet like that for value when I just checked through, signalling weakness? He wants a call, therefore he bets smaller. He wants a fold, therefore he bets bigger. In fact, as the night progressed, I saw this exact trait in his play.
I called and was shown Kd8d for the busted flush draw / backdoor straight draw.