Wednesday, November 23, 2011

What would you do? #241 - Rivered two pair

Bodog $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $28.20
SB: $51.45 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 5, 3B: 3, AF: 1.5, Hands: 325
Hero (BB): $249.46
UTG: $8.71
MP: $45.54
CO: $26.24

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 6s Jc
UTG calls $0.50, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero checks

Flop: ($1.50) 5d 6c Qc (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.00, UTG calls $1, SB calls $1

Turn: ($4.50) 2s (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks

River: ($4.50) Js (3 players)
SB bets $4.50, Hero raises to $15, UTG folds, SB raises to $49.95, Hero ???

Click to see results

Villain is a semi-competent reg. I simply can't see him stacking off with worse than 2 pair like this... He check / calls the flop and, without position, checks the turn hoping for a bet. I don't oblige, not necessarily out of fear of him hitting the straight, but because my hand isn't all that strong. However, by the river, I have improved to two pair - and a lot of players are taking a swipe at this pot since I checked through the turn - hence the river raise. Again, though, is he ever stacking off with worse than middle two pair? I just can't see it - and mama always said, "Don't go broke on a limped pot." Hero folds

Final Pot: $34.50
SB wins $32.80
(Rake: $1.70)

6 comments:

  1. nice hand. River is either call or bet/fold as you did. I usually play this weaker and just call, your line is probably better.

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  2. He led into me; is it poor form to be raising this spot? I'm no doubt raising for value, but I obviously did not expect him to 3bet raise all in on the river. This is a rarity at these stakes without the nuts.

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  3. Hard to put him on a hand here but I am guessing 55 or 34 given that he was in SB. From this passive a player this is a b/f. I would have raised a bit less but that is just stylistic I think.

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  4. @Brian - Problem with raising less in this spot is I won't get full value from a guy who is calling with the worst hand. If I raise to say $12, he's gonna call - just the same if I raise to $15 or $20. I couldn't reason that villain would call an over-pot sized raise, but I could reason that he would call a pot raise, given the smallish size of the pot. To me, it felt as though it was a call or fold for the villain regardless of my raise sizing. Clearly, I don't expect an all in here.

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  5. What hands do you hope to get value from with the raise on the river?

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  6. More info available on turn as a bet defines his hand with action on turn.

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