My range is better than his range - AND HE KNOWS IT!
MP2 is running VPIP (voluntary put into pot) 88 / PFR (pre flop raise) 24 in about 50 hands. I'm not going to let him or the SB float me with overs. I think at this point there are around 4 cards (any A, K, Q, J maybe T) that hurt me. I don't want to have to make a decision for my stack when an overcard rivers and they bet out as a bluff or made hand.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com
Button ($2.09)
SB ($8.06)
BB ($2)
Hero (UTG) ($9.27)
UTG+1 ($9.72)
MP1 ($10)
MP2 ($8.80)
CO ($1.85)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 5h, 5s
Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Button bets $0.60, SB calls $0.55, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50
Flop: ($2.50) 6d, 8c, 3d (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.49, MP2 calls $1.49, 1 fold, SB calls $1.49
Turn: ($6.97) 2c (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7.18 (All-In), 2 folds
If these two are on diamond draws, I want them to pay dearly. At this point, the pot is out of control. I'm fairly certain I'm ahead, and they're fishing with potentially their two overs + flush draws (9 outs to the flush + let's say ~8 over card outs = 17; roughly 34% of cards remaining will hurt me. I do not want to have to showdown a weak pair of 5's to a river shove. Therefore, I take initiative, while they're giving me credit for a hand, and shove myself.
Total pot: $6.97 | Rake: $0.46
From a pair of 5's, I can attest that I'm happpy with the results. I had 3 clean outs to the 4, and 1 out to the set of 5's (the 5d would have been dirty, making at least one of the other two players flush).
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