It's been awhile since I caught one of these. I think I should lead the flop here, given the turn action. However, I get an okay payout for the stone cold nuts...
Bodog $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
CO: $89.00
BTN: $39.85
SB: $73.80
BB: $100.00
UTG: $43.20
UTG+1: $96.50
UTG+2: $98.50
Hero (MP1): $113.15
MP2: $117.50
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP1 with 6s 8s
3 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, 1 fold, CO calls $3, 3 folds
Flop: ($7.50) 5s 7s 9s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn: ($7.50) 4h (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, CO raises to $12.00, Hero raises to $20.00, CO calls $8
Assuming he has a set or As; I should have led flop.
River: ($47.50) 4d (2 players)
Hero bets $30.00, CO folds
Final Pot: $47.50
Hero mucks 6s 8s
Hero wins $45.15
(Rake: $2.35)
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1 day ago
easy to say you should have led flop once you've seen the turn action!
ReplyDeleteon river, assuming he has either a busted flush draw or house, you should bet less or check imo.
Definitely one of the holes in my game - and thanks for pointing it out. I am not nearly checking the river enough to induce. I'm not trusting of the villain to lead river, so I usually automatically wind up betting the river. I go through phases where I execute a river check and other phases where I auto bet. It's a bad habit.
ReplyDeletethere are no right answers when you are out of position. You check the nuts and he checks behind, and you feel like crap. Ditto when you bet and he folds.
ReplyDeleteI don't expect him to be strong here because he checked the flop. Sets are definitely betting this flop. To me, the raise on the turn is a high spade or a weak hand (like JJ with no spade).
So the board pairing is a bad card for us. I like betting small here, maybe super small like $8. You might induce spazz when he thinks you're now afraid of the boat with our own flush. You also might get weak two pairs to cry-call.
I was figuring the paired board would be good for me in the event he has a set. But again, I think checking or betting really small is the best way to extract value; you guys are correct. I need to consider my river action more carefully...
ReplyDeleteIt obv. IS good if he has a set, but it's way more likely he has a flush, two pair, or nothing. This is true from a combos standpoint (only 9 sets on the flop, way more combos of two spade/overpair with spade/overpair without spade/overcards with spade/overcards without spade), AND from the standpoint that he checked flop. I think overpairs and sets always bet that flop.
ReplyDeleteSo most of his range is not helped by the board pairing.
(Best case scenario: he has pocket fours! THAT would be epic, and fits the flop and turn betting).
Pocket 4's would have been very cool... I guess given the turn action, I get a little too hopeful & ahead of myself to actually get paid on a straight flush.
ReplyDeleteA flopped straight flush...mmmm, that must taste like filet mignon. Or, you know, something vegetarian if you rock that way...
ReplyDelete