Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
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CO: $100.65
BTN: $45.25
Hero (SB): $50.25 - I have 11 hands at this table, but I do have history with this player. He knows I'm a perpetual blind stealer.
BB: $50.00 - 14/11 / 26% steal / 6.3% 3bet / 2.4 AF / 288 hands
UTG: $53.15
MP: $16.75
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with Ad 5d
4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3
This guy has shown in the past that he's not afraid to defend 3bets and will defend light at that... Therefore, I call the 3bet OOP and we see a flop.
Flop: ($9.00) 6c 7s 7d (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks
Is a PP ever *NOT* leading this flop, with position? Against a known blind stealer? I immediately drop his range down to complete BS, or broadway cards.
Turn: ($9.00) 4h (2 players)
Hero bets $6, BB calls $6
Great card; I turn an open ender.
River: ($21.00) Ts (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $10, Hero calls $10
I have Ace high. I'm not calling very often at all in this spot - perhaps not often enough. However, he represents such weakness on the river that I simply cannot put him on a hand that beats me. I think even AK, AQ leads that flop; it's such a dry flop. Therefore, I call behind.
Final Pot: $41.00
Hero shows Ad 5d (a pair of Sevens)
BB shows 8s Js (a pair of Sevens)
Hero wins $38.95
(Rake: $2.05)
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18 hours ago
In having a conversation about this, I've further thought about this hand... so here's a habitual blind defender who has passively checked and called his way to a Ten on the river. Am I supposed to believe that he floated a Tx hand the whole way? Or am I supposed to believe that he slow played JJ+ the whole way? Those are the only hands that beat his river bet. All other hands that beat me: 22+, AK, AQ, have showdown value, and he knows that. He'd be checking behind "in the event I show up with pairs." By him betting the river, he turns his hand face up into a bluff.
ReplyDeleteAs a point of interest, I make this play far too often, where I'm bluffing at a rivered 3flush, for example. I usually wind up getting called because - rightfully so - more often than not, I don't have the flush. I need to work on that.
Fold or 4bet pre, flatting 3bets OOP is generally a recipe for disaster since you have neither position nor the betting lead.
ReplyDeleteI agree with postflop though, he's not really repping anything with his river bet, other than maybe AT