tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post5017172988831074587..comments2023-12-01T14:39:41.613-05:00Comments on Just the facts... a low stakes poker blog: What would you do? #166 - Holding second pair (PP) to a fairly ordinary board facing a river shoveThe Poker Meisterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-33391960208427489502010-08-25T14:38:48.020-04:002010-08-25T14:38:48.020-04:00Right from the beginning of this hand, I hold a bl...Right from the beginning of this hand, I hold a bluff catcher. Based on his AF, I know he's not the type to check down, either. Given the 3 barrels, I know he's weighted to monster / air. He can't have an in-between hand - even trip 6's. <br /><br />Moreover, the whole hand he's set up for half stacks or thereabout... All of a sudden, he decides to push? What is he The Poker Meisterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-32519148067546224472010-08-25T13:46:43.786-04:002010-08-25T13:46:43.786-04:00Yeah I am shocked you stayed in this hand till the...Yeah I am shocked you stayed in this hand till the end, no way I call that river there because I know I am behind probably more than 90% of the time given his action on all three streets.<br /><br />He couldn't have A6s, 76s or 65s?Hammer Player a.k.a Hoyazohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17031535857121915911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-20431862898150262992010-08-24T21:21:14.138-04:002010-08-24T21:21:14.138-04:00I think turn is a fold, you just aren't going ...I think turn is a fold, you just aren't going to see a 13/9 barreling off as a bluff often enough to make it a profitable call. It's not a good turn card for him to barrel either, especially when your hand looks a lot like JxHappyPixelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13584284196449782836noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-61387194830074177762010-08-24T09:56:22.950-04:002010-08-24T09:56:22.950-04:00This is not an auto call / auto fold situation, so...This is not an auto call / auto fold situation, so I'm not treating 88 as a long term hand; I'm thinking about it in the sole perspective of this hand.<br /><br />As I call the flop, I think about what hands he could have that have me beat: AJ, KJ is the obvious one. Given that he is a 4% 3bettor, and in position, I don't think he's shy about raising QQ+ if not TT+... He also The Poker Meisterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-7068081847500820572010-08-24T09:16:13.219-04:002010-08-24T09:16:13.219-04:00Nice hand. I think I probably fold the flop though...Nice hand. I think I probably fold the flop though having missed my set draw. Possibly too weak.. but how profitable are 8's going to be long term? I dunno.SirFWALGManhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01310209706844541719noreply@blogger.com