tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post3914779705986200226..comments2023-12-01T14:39:41.613-05:00Comments on Just the facts... a low stakes poker blog: What would you do? #83 - Facing flop committing bet when you have ~50% in PFThe Poker Meisterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-24616785695970208302010-04-13T14:12:06.231-04:002010-04-13T14:12:06.231-04:00When you say 'flip', do you mean vs AK, or...When you say 'flip', do you mean vs AK, or you mean he could have AA, KK?<br /><br />Yeah - I mean AK. And I realized, with UTG+1's re-flat of my final PF raise, that he had, *at best*, AK.<br /><br />It's funny - like we're talking about on your blog, Micro, this is one case where I hate the short stackers. The BB set me up with an awkward shove, where we got to 30BBs and The Poker Meisterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-56359445405754682242010-04-13T12:50:16.318-04:002010-04-13T12:50:16.318-04:00I'll agree that the hand sucked.
When you say...I'll agree that the hand sucked.<br /><br />When you say 'flip', do you mean vs AK, or you mean he could have AA, KK?<br /><br />If you are discounting the fact that he has AA, KK (or the chance is quite unlikely, i.e. < 10%), I don't think you should be timid at all. If you push and he folds, then there's $30 extra in the pot that you have at least 50% equity on. If he Seanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01776475757665229021noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-20722440431697079002010-04-13T12:34:23.735-04:002010-04-13T12:34:23.735-04:00OK haven't looked at results or comments yet.
...OK haven't looked at results or comments yet.<br /><br />A lot is going to depend on your perception of the players and their perception of you. I think it would be cool if you could include vpip/pfr/af and your impressions of other players in the hand. (Is this Rush? Do you run into the same people enough that stats are meaningful?)<br /><br />Against competent players, I'm folding a lotMicroRollerhttp://blog.microrollers.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-15457408728148303412010-04-13T11:07:39.962-04:002010-04-13T11:07:39.962-04:00Sean - you hit on the exact two items going throug...Sean - you hit on the exact two items going through my head at the time. I don't mind getting it in with BB's ~quarter stack. Usually, a non-full buy in says "weak player" and QQ is going to be good enough times to make a profitable call of that shove. However, the UTG+1 raises -> flats -> flats again from out of position. The issue was that I was somewhat deep stackedThe Poker Meisterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9142521684451555818.post-45532368980411640582010-04-13T10:49:17.093-04:002010-04-13T10:49:17.093-04:00(BTW, I read the result already, but my initial th...(BTW, I read the result already, but my initial thought was push or fold as I describe below)<br /><br />Yeah, I'd say you definitely raised too light. <br /><br />I feel like your action is very much a push or a fold situation. You are getting about 4:1 on the call, so I think you can call profitably planning to fold to a bet if you don't hit a set. You could also carefully play the Seanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01776475757665229021noreply@blogger.com